Your Latest Florida Weather Information

Hi everybody. Ana is still racing west with no signs of getting stronger. Tropical storm watches are now up for the Windward Islands. Ana continues to struggle for her life and is just not getting her act together as expected. She is still riding under a strong high pressure ridge that is helping to steer her on a west course. Because of her weakness, she is not making as much poleward progress as originally forecast. In fact, the global models have again shifted south and the forecast track has also shifted in response to the model changes. Although some models are calling for strengthening, others are calling for Ana not to make it across at all. Even if she does and follows the forecast track, she will most likely be killed by the mountains of Hispanolia and Cuba. This is a very hostile track for a cyclone. I feel a bit of relief as far as we are concerned in Central Florida but South Florida and the Keys need to watch carefully as she moves west. Remember, we are still in the cone so vigilance is a must.

 

Tropical storm Bill is gradually becomming a force to reacon with. The system still lacks an inner core and deep convection near the center. Bill is forecast to be a hurricane in a few days and gain much more strength thereafter. Models are consistent on a west movement followed by a west northwest turn and then more to the northwest thereafter. It is still too early to prdict if or when Bill will impact the US. Since Bill will be a major hurricane, he will have to be watched carefully. The model trend give us a shot at biting the bullet if the northward model trends continue. If the system is weaker then expected, there may be more of a wesward component that might create more problems for us. Right now I am looking optimistically at the models and data and hoping for the best.

Tropical Storm Ana Models and Track   http://www.joesdiscoweathercentral.com/Model1.html

Tropical Storm Bill Models and Track http://www.joesdiscoweathercentral.com/Model2.html

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