Hi everybody. We are still watching Paloma getting stronger as he slowly tracks north. There is not much change in the model guidance or forecast at this time. Paloma is being steered northward by a large upper level ridge over the Central Caribbean Sea. The cyclone should turn North East as it ronds an area between the northern part of the ridge and strong westerlies over the United States. Once the system gets tangled with the strong westerly flow, the hurricane is likely to shear apart at times as it crosses Cuba. The remnant low could wind up anywhere from the Gulf of Mexico to off the SE coast of Florida.
The GFDL solution shows a much more potent system moving across Cuba and into the Atlantic. Since this system is forecast to become a major hurricane, this is the most likely solution and is the solution that the current forecast track is leaning towards. You can view the latest model runs here. Here you can view the latest Storm Floater Satellite Loops. You can view other storm related graphics and text products HERE. You can visit Hurricane Central HERE.